Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 2
ACM
31%
25%
45%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 2
ROM
41%
25%
34%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 4
FIO
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
FIO
35%
27%
38%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 3
ATL
51%
24%
26%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
SCP
69%
17%
15%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
ATL
33%
24%
43%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
BOL
73%
16%
11%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |