Coppa Italia Final
Global 3-0
Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
UDI
1 - 0
FIO
39%
27%
35%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
LAZ
4 - 0
FIO
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
FIO
6 - 4
PAD
78%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
ATL
1 - 3
LAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAG
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
ATL
1 - 2
BAR
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
VIC
1 - 0
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |