Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
VIC
1 - 0
FIO
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
INT
2 - 1
FIO
49%
27%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
FIO
1 - 1
JUV
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
ATL
0 - 1
INT
29%
30%
41%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 1
ATL
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ATL
0 - 2
JUV
19%
29%
52%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
VIC
2 - 2
ATL
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
NAP
2 - 2
ATL
73%
19%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |