Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1967 |
FIO
1 - 1
SCP
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1967 |
SAM
1 - 1
FIO
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1967 |
SCP
2 - 1
FIO
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
FIO
1 - 1
INT
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
JUV
2 - 2
FIO
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1967 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIC
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
ACM
0 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
ATL
1 - 3
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
MAN
1 - 0
ATL
36%
31%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
INT
4 - 1
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |