Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
INT
2 - 0
FIO
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
FIO
3 - 1
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
BOL
3 - 1
FIO
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
FIO
2 - 1
NAP
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
UDI
0 - 2
FIO
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
NAP
1 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
ATL
2 - 2
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
USA
0 - 0
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
SAM
4 - 0
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |