Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 0
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
FIO
3 - 1
INT
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
FIO
0 - 0
CRV
60%
21%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
PAL
0 - 1
FIO
23%
26%
52%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
FIO
4 - 0
NAP
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1957 |
ATL
0 - 1
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
UDI
3 - 0
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAD
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 0
ATL
84%
10%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
ATL
3 - 3
SAM
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |