Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
UDI
1 - 2
FIO
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
FIO
2 - 0
SAM
54%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
FIO
2 - 2
TOR
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
SPA
1 - 1
FIO
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
FIO
0 - 0
ACM
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 0
LAZ
51%
23%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
JUV
2 - 0
ATL
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
SAM
2 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ATL
4 - 2
TRI
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |