Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
14.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
GEN
0 - 2
FIO
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 4
JUV
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
LIV
4 - 1
FIO
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
FIO
2 - 0
INT
52%
22%
27%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
BAR
4 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LAZ
3 - 2
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 2
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 0
ACL
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
TOR
4 - 2
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
ATL
1 - 2
VNZ
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |