Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
16.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
LIV
3 - 1
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
FIO
4 - 3
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
INT
0 - 1
FIO
69%
17%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 2
ROM
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
LAZ
1 - 1
FIO
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ACM
1 - 3
ATL
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 2
ROM
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 3
JUV
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
BOL
4 - 0
ATL
83%
11%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |