Fiorentina vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1941 |
FIO
5 - 0
JUV
48%
23%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
LAZ
4 - 1
FIO
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
FIO
3 - 0
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 3
ACM
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1940 |
ACL
7 - 0
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ACL
3 - 0
LEO
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
ACL
0 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 0
ACL
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |