Fiorentina vs Carbonia analysis


85	ELO	28
-17%	Tilt	-15.5%
19º	General ELO ranking	43970º
8º	Country ELO ranking	1288º
ELO win probability

77.3%

Fiorentina

13.1%

Draw

9.6%

Carbonia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

77.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%

13.1%

Draw

0-0

1.7%

1-1

5.4%

2-2

4.2%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

13.1%

9.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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