Fiorentina vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
LAZ
0 - 1
FIO
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
FIO
0 - 1
SAM
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
USF
0 - 0
FIO
24%
27%
49%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1965 |
MAN
0 - 0
FIO
24%
27%
49%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
FIO
5 - 0
GEN
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 1
ROM
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
TOR
1 - 0
VAR
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
INT
0 - 0
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
JUV
3 - 2
VAR
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |