Fiorentina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
WLO
0 - 2
FIO
24%
26%
50%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
FIO
3 - 1
WLO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
CAG
1 - 1
FIO
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
SAM
3 - 2
FIO
39%
26%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
BAR
0 - 1
JUV
27%
28%
46%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
PRG
0 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
BAR
3 - 1
PIA
46%
28%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
EMP
0 - 2
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |