Fiorentina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
VER
1 - 1
FIO
33%
28%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
PAL
2 - 0
FIO
23%
27%
51%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
FIO
4 - 0
ATL
72%
19%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
TER
0 - 1
FIO
26%
31%
43%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 1
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
BAR
3 - 1
ASS
59%
26%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BAR
49%
32%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
BAR
2 - 1
BRE
54%
29%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
68%
22%
10%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |