Fiorentina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
DYN
1 - 2
FIO
46%
24%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 2
FIO
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
LAZ
5 - 1
FIO
21%
28%
51%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
FIO
0 - 1
CAG
62%
24%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
TOR
0 - 1
BAR
71%
18%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAM
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
BOL
1 - 1
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
VIC
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |