Fiorentina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
FIO
2 - 1
TRI
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
VNZ
1 - 2
FIO
37%
24%
38%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
FIO
4 - 1
PRO
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATL
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
BAR
0 - 0
JUV
22%
25%
54%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
BOL
2 - 0
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
INT
4 - 0
BAR
79%
13%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |