Fiorentina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
SAM
1 - 1
FIO
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
FIO
1 - 1
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIO
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
FIO
0 - 2
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 2
BAR
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
BAR
1 - 1
JUV
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
TOR
2 - 0
BAR
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
INT
2 - 0
BAR
91%
6%
3%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |