Fiorentina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1932 |
MOD
1 - 1
FIO
24%
21%
55%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
USA
1 - 0
FIO
26%
21%
53%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
FIO
1 - 0
LEO
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 2
FIO
12%
15%
72%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1931 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRO
81%
12%
8%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1932 |
BAR
1 - 0
LEO
39%
23%
38%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
BAR
1 - 2
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
88%
7%
4%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
LAZ
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1931 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
44%
22%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |