Fiorentina vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1978 |
INT
2 - 2
FIO
56%
26%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
FIO
0 - 0
GEN
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
PES
1 - 2
FIO
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
FIO
2 - 0
TOR
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1978 |
RIM
0 - 1
ASS
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 2
INT
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 3
TOR
19%
28%
53%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 0
SAM
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |