Fiorentina vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
FIO
5 - 0
CAT
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
MES
0 - 3
FIO
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
INT
6 - 2
FIO
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
FIO
4 - 1
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
CAG
1 - 1
FIO
30%
27%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
MAN
1 - 3
LAZ
47%
30%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAN
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
MES
2 - 0
MAN
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
BOL
4 - 1
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |