Fiorentina vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 0
FIO
40%
28%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 3
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 2
UDI
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 1
SIE
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
CES
55%
27%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CES
1 - 3
ACM
13%
24%
64%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 2
CES
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
NAP
0 - 0
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |