Fiorentina vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
ROM
3 - 2
FIO
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAT
0 - 0
FIO
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 0
EMP
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
2 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
CES
1 - 0
LAZ
22%
27%
51%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 1
CES
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CES
0 - 1
SAM
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
CES
1 - 3
NOV
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
CES
60%
25%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |