Fiorentina vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
PES
0 - 0
FIO
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
38%
31%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1986 |
ROM
2 - 0
FIO
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
FIO
3 - 0
EMP
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 0
EMP
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 2
ARZ
46%
31%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 2
GEN
44%
32%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARZ
47%
31%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |