Coppa Italia Primavera Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Fiorentina U19 vs Roma U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
FRO
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
EMP
0 - 3
FIO
30%
24%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 2
FIO
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 2
MIL
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 2
ASS
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
ROM
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ROM
1 - 3
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 2
ROM
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
ROM
3 - 2
SAS
57%
22%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ROM
2 - 1
LEC
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |