Finnsnes vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
73.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnsnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
FOL
5 - 0
FIN
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FIN
2 - 3
SKE
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
SEN
1 - 3
FIN
41%
23%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
KJE
4 - 1
FIN
53%
22%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FIN
3 - 1
FLO
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 1
RAN
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 0
TRO
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 0
HAM
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
MJO
0 - 0
TRO
9%
18%
73%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HON
1 - 3
TRO
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |