FinnPa vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FinnPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1996 |
FFJ
1 - 1
FIN
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
TPS
0 - 0
FIN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
FIN
4 - 2
MYP
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
FIN
1 - 1
MIK
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
PON
1 - 2
FIN
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1996 |
ILV
1 - 0
MYP
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
ILV
0 - 0
FCJ
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
MIK
1 - 2
ILV
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
TPS
2 - 1
ILV
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
ILV
0 - 2
MYP
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |