Finn Harps vs Wexford Youths analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
7º
6º
56
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 2
FIN
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 1
FIN
23%
23%
55%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CAO
2 - 2
FIN
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 0
LON
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 4
FIN
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
WEX
4 - 0
KEF
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DRO
3 - 2
WEX
67%
19%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 0
UCD
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LON
3 - 0
WEX
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
WEX
0 - 0
BRW
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |