Finn Harps vs Wexford Youths analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
9º
9º
53
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 1
BRW
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 1
FIN
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 2
GAL
28%
27%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SLR
2 - 0
FIN
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DER
6 - 0
FIN
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
WEX
3 - 0
ATH
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
COB
2 - 1
WEX
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
WEX
0 - 3
WAT
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
WEX
1 - 2
BOH
23%
23%
55%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
WEX
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |