Finn Harps vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
7º
6º
53
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 44 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
2 - 0
BRW
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
FIN
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 0
KEF
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 2
FIN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 1
COB
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
KEF
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
UCD
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
COB
1 - 2
UCD
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UCD
3 - 0
ATH
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 2
WEX
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |