Finn Harps vs Treaty United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
7º
6º
44
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 2
CAO
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
COB
2 - 0
FIN
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
FIN
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
2 - 0
BRW
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
UCD
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 1
TRE
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
KEF
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
3 - 2
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
TRE
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |