Finn Harps vs Treaty United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
9º
9º
44
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
4 - 1
FIN
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 2
GAL
13%
23%
63%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 2
FIN
7%
15%
79%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
CLI
5 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
KIU
0 - 1
FIN
5%
11%
84%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
GAL
3 - 0
TRE
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 3
LON
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
WEX
1 - 0
TRE
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 2
CAO
26%
21%
53%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
KEF
2 - 3
TRE
8%
17%
75%
|
51 | 6 | 45 | 0 |