Finn Harps vs Treaty United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
9º
9º
44
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
4 - 1
FIN
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 2
GAL
13%
23%
63%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 2
FIN
7%
15%
79%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
CLI
5 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
KIU
0 - 1
FIN
5%
11%
84%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | +1 |
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
GAL
3 - 0
TRE
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 3
LON
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
WEX
1 - 0
TRE
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 2
CAO
26%
21%
53%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
KEF
2 - 3
TRE
8%
17%
75%
|
51 | 6 | 45 | 0 |