Finn Harps vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
9º
9º
40
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FIN
5 - 0
STF
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 1
TRE
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
4 - 1
FIN
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 2
GAL
13%
23%
63%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 2
FIN
7%
15%
79%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LON
2 - 3
ATH
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 4
LON
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 3
LON
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LON
0 - 1
COB
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
LON
1 - 2
STP
12%
18%
70%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |