Premier League Promotion Playoffs Final
Global 3-0
Finn Harps vs Limerick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
FIN
2 - 0
DRO
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
DRO
1 - 1
FIN
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FIN
7 - 1
CAB
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
UCD
1 - 1
FIN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
FIN
2 - 0
GAL
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
WAT
4 - 1
LIM
64%
21%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
LIM
0 - 4
STP
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CAO
3 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
LIM
0 - 1
DER
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
BRW
0 - 2
LIM
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +2 |