Premier League Promotion Playoffs Final
Global 2-1
Finn Harps vs Limerick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 0
FIN
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
FIN
2 - 1
UCD
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
UCD
0 - 1
FIN
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FIN
4 - 1
WEX
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 1
FIN
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 0
FIN
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
SLR
2 - 3
LIM
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
LIM
0 - 2
SHR
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LIM
0 - 2
DER
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 3
LIM
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |