Finn Harps vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
7º
6º
55
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 0
WEX
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 0
FIN
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
UCD
3 - 3
FIN
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FIN
3 - 2
LON
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
BRW
1 - 0
FIN
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
CAO
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 2
UCD
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
ATH
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
BRW
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
ATH
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |