Finland U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
FIN
1 - 1
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
FIN
1 - 2
NOR
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CZE
1 - 0
FIN
72%
17%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
FIN
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 4
FIN
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 5 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
LUX
1 - 0
POL
14%
19%
68%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
ALB
2 - 2
POL
23%
24%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
NED
3 - 2
POL
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
ROU
2 - 1
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 1
POL
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |