Finland U21 vs Denmark U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
FIN
1 - 1
SWE
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2008 |
FIN
1 - 0
POL
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 1
FIN
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
FIN
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
FIN
2 - 1
LTU
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ISL
0 - 2
DEN
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
GER
4 - 0
DEN
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 1
SWE
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
NED
2 - 1
DEN
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
DEN
1 - 0
SVN
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |