Fincantieri Monfalcone vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fincantieri Monfalcone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
FMO
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FMO
1 - 3
LEV
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FON
2 - 1
FMO
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FMO
1 - 2
CNO
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 2
FMO
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
VNZ
19%
22%
60%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DCA
0 - 1
MES
24%
22%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MES
3 - 3
VIR
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GIO
1 - 5
MES
21%
22%
58%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MES
7 - 2
SAC
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |