Philippines vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
PHL
3 - 2
FIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
TLS
1 - 0
PHL
7%
14%
79%
|
55 | 21 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
TWN
3 - 0
PHL
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
LAO
1 - 3
PHL
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
NPL
0 - 0
PHL
12%
20%
68%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
TJK
0 - 0
YEM
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
TJK
3 - 0
NPL
79%
15%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
NPL
1 - 2
TJK
11%
20%
69%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
TJK
3 - 4
PHL
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
YEM
2 - 1
TJK
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |