WC Qual. Asia 1ra Ronda Final
Global 5-1
Philippines vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
LKA
1 - 1
PHL
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BGD
0 - 3
PHL
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
PHL
0 - 0
PLE
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
MMR
1 - 1
PHL
50%
22%
27%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
MNG
2 - 1
PHL
26%
22%
53%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
LKA
1 - 1
PHL
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
NPL
0 - 0
LKA
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LKA
0 - 1
AFG
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
PRK
4 - 0
LKA
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
0 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |