Philippines vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
AZE
1 - 0
PHL
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 0
PHL
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
PHL
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
HKG
0 - 1
PHL
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
SGP
1 - 0
PHL
60%
20%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
NPL
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
NPL
1 - 1
PAK
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NPL
2 - 0
BGD
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
NPL
0 - 0
PLE
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
BGD
2 - 0
NPL
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |