Philippines vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
46.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1972 |
PHL
2 - 2
KHM
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1972 |
LKA
1 - 4
PHL
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1972 |
PHL
1 - 5
JPN
31%
21%
48%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1972 |
MAS
1 - 0
PHL
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1972 |
SGP
0 - 2
PHL
56%
20%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1972 |
JPN
0 - 3
KOR
62%
20%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1972 |
MAS
3 - 1
JPN
30%
22%
48%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1972 |
PHL
1 - 5
JPN
31%
21%
48%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1972 |
LKA
0 - 5
JPN
28%
21%
51%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
KOR
2 - 1
JPN
44%
23%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |