Philippines vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PHL
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
PHL
1 - 1
IDN
15%
18%
68%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
PHL
0 - 2
VIE
10%
17%
73%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BHR
1 - 0
PHL
85%
12%
4%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KGZ
0 - 1
PHL
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PHL
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
IRQ
2 - 3
JOR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
IRQ
3 - 2
VIE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
IRQ
2 - 1
JPN
13%
20%
67%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 3
IRQ
16%
22%
62%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |