Philippines vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
TWN
1 - 1
PHL
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
PHL
2 - 3
TWN
57%
21%
23%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
PHL
1 - 0
NPL
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
JOR
4 - 0
PHL
81%
15%
4%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
KWT
2 - 0
PHL
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
AFG
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BGD
0 - 0
AFG
19%
21%
59%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
AFG
2 - 2
KHM
72%
17%
10%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
AFG
1 - 2
IND
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
HKG
2 - 1
AFG
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |