Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-3
UE Figueres vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UE Figueres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
FIG
1 - 0
LUG
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
MLL
4 - 0
FIG
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
FIG
1 - 2
SSC
55%
26%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1992 |
NUM
1 - 1
FIG
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
COM
1 - 0
FIG
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
OSA
2 - 1
NUM
48%
29%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
NUM
2 - 2
TUD
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
IZA
1 - 0
NUM
45%
30%
26%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1992 |
NUM
1 - 1
FIG
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
NUM
1 - 0
LEM
62%
25%
13%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |