UE Figueres vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UE Figueres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 0
FIG
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
FIG
0 - 0
HOS
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SAB
1 - 2
FIG
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
FIG
0 - 1
LLE
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
GIM
1 - 4
FIG
68%
20%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAS
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
GAV
0 - 0
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 1
ALI
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
MLL
0 - 0
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 0
CEM
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |