Figueirense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 2
FFL
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
FFL
6 - 0
ASA
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
FFL
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
FFL
1 - 2
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 0
FFL
25%
26%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 3
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 4
BAH
29%
27%
45%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |