Figueirense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 1
FFL
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 1
BAH
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FFL
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 0
PPE
64%
20%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
FFL
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 2
PPE
66%
20%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 3
CRZ
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAS
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
VAS
31%
25%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
VAS
4 - 2
NAU
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |