Figueirense vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
FFL
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 0
CRI
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
FFL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
FFL
10%
20%
70%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
JEC
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 2
MET
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |