Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
FFL
3 - 3
CHA
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
9%
18%
73%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FFL
0 - 1
JEC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
FFL
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 0
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |